Wind SeiryuuTier 2
at Grex Store Championship
decks
2
(4.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
11
3-6-2
overall winrate
36.4%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.7%
avg ELO -4.9 per match
expected value
47.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
45.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1229
· median 1229
· range 1193–1266
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1107
Q1 1229
Q3 1426
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Oblation | 23.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 45.7% | -3.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 16.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.4% | -6.3 |
| Water Aetherwing | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 7.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.9% | -6.5 |
| Fire Suzaku | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | -10.9 |
| Fire Aetherwing | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suited | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Alice | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Guardian | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.6% | +9.0 |
| Horse and Taxes | 2.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 36.8% | -21.1 |
| Water Allies | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Fractal | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 2.4% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.7% | -1.3 |
